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Dave Ditz

Five Tips for Making Profitable NFL Picks


By: Fabiola Grosshan
Submitted: 2010-10-28 05:55:10 | Word Count: 604


If you are serious about sports gambling, have a thing for betting the NFL, and want to increase your success rates by identifying safe NFL picks that also have a good potential for profit, then you need to commit yourself to thorough research and use the information you collect in all your betting ventures. Any professional bettor in the online sports betting scene will tell you that knowledge is the very foundation for successful betting, so if you want to build a steady profit betting the NFL, make sure you do your homework properly.

Each of the five tips discussed hereinafter builds on the element of knowledge, specifically logging and studying NFL lines and NFL odds, but also analyzing statistics, handicapping advice, and even looking into behind the scene news and gossips. Provided that you substantiate them with accurate and updated sports betting information, by following the tips provided here you should be able to come up with a larger number of winning NFL picks and build a sizeable bankroll.

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1. First, work on your ability to gauge home field advantage and use your estimations to point you towards the right NFL picks. If you look at the records of most professional football teams in the major league, don’t be surprised to find that they usually tie up the best performances when playing on home ground. Although there are exceptions to this rule, home advantage is nevertheless an important factor in determining the right team to wager on.

2. Make sure you keep an eye on injury reports and key player absences. Since these factors stand out as major indicators in constructing weekly point spreads, they also play a crucial role in NFL betting decision-making.

3. For better profitability, avoid betting the favorite to cover the point spread. Each week, NFL betting presents bettors with at least several matches with a point spread in excess of +10, so this can easily become tempting. Remember though that wagering on a team that needs to cover double digits is a risky decision, especially with so many other better wager options to choose from.

4. If the main goal behind your NFL betting is to build a consistent bankroll, then you should be very careful how you manage your money and consider using a proven unit system for making your bets. While raising the unit size to a 2 or 3-unit wager every now and then is acceptable when there is a lot of value involved, the experts recommend playing responsibly most of time, which generally means sticking by single unit plays. Similarly, you should avoid risking too much of your bankroll’s size on speculative money line underdogs or low-percentage parlays.

5. The last tip we will address here involves taking full advantage of teasers, a variety of bets for which the bookmakers subtract a given amount of points off of the point spread, to encourage a higher level of point spread-based betting action. The most common types of teasers you will come across in NFL betting are 6-point teasers, which get you 6 points off the point spread, irrespective of the game you pick. For instance, if you picked Team A and the initial point spread was -10, with the teaser that team would only need to win by a margin of -4 points for you to collect the wager prize. However, always account for the fact that teasers require betting a minimum of two games simultaneously.

Author Resource:- For more resources about NFL Picks or about NFL Odds or even about NFL Lines, please review these links.

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